Calbuco Eruption

After laying dormant for nearly forty years, Calbuco explosively erupted yesterday sending a plume of fire, ash, and smoke miles high.

Footage from the area shows a huge column of lava and ash being sent several kilometres into the air.

The authorities have declared a red alert and evacuated more than 4,000 people within a 20km (12 mile) radius.

The Calbuco volcano is one of the most active in Chile, but its eruption took officials in the area by surprise.

Check out the timelapse video captured below:

Posted in Science News by André Bernier. Comments Off

Climate Data

Here is a list of interesting climate data listed as a part of a thoughtful report by Dr. E. Calvin Beisner, Ph.D. Click on the link above to read Dr. Beisner’s entire essay.

  • 2014 was, according to NASA’s data, only one-one hundredth degree Celsius warmer than the next warmest year (2010), but the margin of error is ten times as much. That makes the difference meaningless.
  • NASA’s claim was based on surface data, which are notoriously less credible than satellite data, and according to the latter, 2014 was the third warmest year on “record,” beating out the next six by less than the margin of error, which means it might have been anywhere from third to ninth warmest.
  • The satellite “record” goes back only 35 years, and NASA’s surface “record” 135. But the Minoan Warm Period (roughly 3,000 years ago), Roman Warm Period (roughly 2,000 years ago), and Medieval Warm Period (roughly 1,000 years ago) were warmer than the present—all before people began burning fossil fuels.
  • For 14 out of the 15 warmest years on either of these records to come in this century would be significant only if it were improbable. But probability applies to random chance, like rolling dice, and the climate system isn’t random. It’s “a continuous process of incremental change,” as Holman Jenkins put it, going on to explain that this kind of reasoning “is akin to assuming that, because you weighed 195 pounds at some point in your life, there should be an equal chance of you weighing 195 pounds at any point in your life, even when you were a baby.”
  • That the planet’s been warmer the last 35 years than the previous 115 implies nothing about what made it that way. The fact that computer climate models (whose prognostications ground the fears of dangerous manmade global warming) exaggerated the observed warming since 1979 by 2 to 5 times and utterly failed to predict the absence of warming for the last 18 years and 3 months demonstrates that the sensitivity of global temperature to added CO2 programmed into them is wrong, and consequently the models are worthless for forecasting future temperature. Consequently, climate scientists the world over are reducing their estimates of CO2’s warming effect to levels that aren’t dangerous.
  • Finally, 2014 was actually among the 3 percent coldest years in the last 10,000.
Posted in Climate by André Bernier. Comments Off

Spooky Gust Front

After high temperatures hit 80°F and warmer in parts of NEOhio, a cool front arrived with a gust front and a 25°F temperature drop in less than 30 minutes. A WJW-TV viewer sent in this impressive panoramic view of the cold front approaching the Ohio lakeshore this evening just before 5 PM. Click on the photo to see a larger image.

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Posted in Weather by André Bernier. Comments Off

Antarctic Ice Records

1. Antarctic sea ice has been above normal for almost 3 years uninterrupted.

2. Three years uninterrupted above normal sea ice is unprecedented over the satellite record.

3. Record after record sea ice highs have been set during that period.

4. The trend for the last 10 years has been stunningly strong.

5. The long-term 30-year trend is strongly upwards.

For the full story, CLICK HERE.

Posted in Climate by André Bernier. Comments Off

Illinois Tornado EF4

From the National Weather Service, Chicago, Illinois.

NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE CONDUCTED A GROUND SURVEY COVERING THE MOST HEAVILY DAMAGED LOCATIONS. BASED ON EARLY FINDINGS THE TORNADO THAT TRACKED FROM NEAR ROCHELLE TO NEAR BELVIDERE…AND IMPACTED THE COMMUNITY OF FAIRDALE…APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN A SINGLE LONG TRACK TORNADO. PRELIMINARY SURVEY ASSESSMENT INDICATES THIS TORNADO WAS AN EF-4. AN AERIAL SURVEY WILL BE CONDUCTED TOMORROW…WEATHER PERMITTING…TO CONFIRM A FINAL RATING.

AT LEAST ONE SATELLITE TORNADO ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LARGER TORNADO WAS FOUND THUS FAR AND THERE MAY HAVE BEEN OTHERS. AN AERIAL SURVEY WILL HELP US ASCERTAIN WHETHER THERE WERE ANY ADDITIONAL TORNADOES ON THIS DAY.

STATS:

RATING: EF-4 (PRELIMINARY)
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 180-200 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: TBD
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 0.5 MILE
(PRELIMINARY) FATALITIES: 2 INJURIES: 22

Here are a couple of YouTube videos that show the multiple suction vorticies rotating around the main tornado trunk.

Posted in Weather by André Bernier. Comments Off